Timothy Osborn

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• Evidence for trends in heavy rainfall events over the UK

  Osborn, T. J. & Hulme, M., 2002, In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A. 360, 1796, p. 1313-1325 13 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  114 Citations (Scopus)

• Exploring an ensemble approach to estimating skill in multiproxy palaeoclimate reconstructions

  van der Schrier, G., Osborn, T. J., Briffa, K. R. & Cook, E. R., 2007, In: The Holocene. 17, p. 119-129 11 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  5 Citations (Scopus)

• Global and regional impacts of climate change at different levels of global temperature increase

  Arnell, N. W., Lowe, J. A., Challinor, A. J. & Osborn, T. J., Aug 2019, In: Climatic Change. 155, 3, p. 377–391 15 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  170 Citations (Scopus)

  31 Downloads (Pure)

• Global mean surface temperature response to large-scale patterns of variability in observations and CMIP5

  Kajtar, J., Collins, M., Frankcombe, L., England, M., Osborn, T. & Juniper, M., 28 Feb 2019, In: Geophysical Research Letters. 46, 4, p. 2232-2241 10 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  22 Citations (Scopus)

  24 Downloads (Pure)

• Global-scale climate impact functions: the relationship between climate forcing and impact

  Arnell, N. W., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Hinkel, J., Huntingford, C., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Lowe, J. A., Osborn, T., Nicholls, R. J. & Zelazowski, P., Feb 2016, In: Climatic Change. 134, 3, p. 475-487 13 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  15 Downloads (Pure)

• Hemispheric and large-scale land surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2010

  Jones, P. D., Lister, D. H., Osborn, T. J., Harpham, C., Salmon, M. & Morice, C. P., 16 May 2012, In: Journal of Geophysical Research. 117, D5, D05127.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  712 Citations (Scopus)

  11 Downloads (Pure)

• High-resolution palaeoclimatology of the last millennium: A review of current status and future prospects

  Jones, P. D., Briffa, K. R., Osborn, T. J., Lough, J. M., Van Ommen, T. D., Vinther, B. M., Luterbacher, J., Wahl, E. R., Zwiers, F. W., Mann, M. E., Schmidt, G. A., Ammann, C. M., Buckley, B. M., Cobb, K. M., Esper, J., Goosse, H., Graham, N., Jansen, E., Kiefer, T., Kull, C., & 10 othersKuttel, M., Mosley-Thompson, E., Overpeck, JT., Riedwyl, N., Schulz, M., Tudhope, AW., Villalba, R., Wanner, H., Wolff, E. & Xoplaki, E., 2009, In: Holocene. 19, 1, p. 3-49 47 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  540 Citations (Scopus)

  8 Downloads (Pure)

• Holocene climate variability investigated using data-model comparisons

  Renssen, H. & Osborn, T., 2003, In: CLIVAR Exchanges. 26, p. 1-3

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

• How will organic carbon stocks in mineral soils evolve under future climate? Global projections using RothC for a range of climate change scenarios

  Gottschalk, P., Smith, JU., Wattenbach, M., Bellarby, J., Stehfest, E., Arnell, N., Osborn, TJ. & Smith, P., 14 Aug 2012, In: Biogeosciences. 9, 1, p. 3151-3171 20 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access
  106 Citations (Scopus)

• Hydropower plans in eastern and southern Africa increase risk of concurrent climate-related electricity supply disruption

  Conway, D., Dalin, C., Landman, W. A. & Osborn, T. J., 8 Dec 2017, In: Nature Energy. 2, p. 946–953 8 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  82 Citations (Scopus)

  39 Downloads (Pure)

• Identifying teleconnections and multidecadal variability of East Asian surface temperature during the last millennium in CMIP5 simulations

  Ratna, S. B., Osborn, T., Joshi, M., Yang, B. & Wang, J., 16 Oct 2019, In: Climate of the Past. 15, 5, p. 1825-1844 20 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  16 Citations (Scopus)

  15 Downloads (Pure)

• Influence of volcanic eruptions on Northern Hemisphere summer temperature over the past 600 years

  Briffa, K. R., Jones, P. D., Schweingruber, F. H. & Osborn, T. J., 1998, In: Nature. 393, 6684, p. 450-455 6 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  636 Citations (SciVal)

• Influencia da Oscilacao do Atlantico Norte no clima do continente Europeu e no caudal dos rios Ibericos Atlanticos

  Trigo, R., Osborn, T. & Corte-Real, J., 2002, In: Finisterra. 37, 73, p. 5-31 27 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  6 Citations (Scopus)

• Internal and external forcing of multidecadal Atlantic climate variability over the past 1,200 years

  Wang, J., Yang, B., Ljungqvist, F. C., Luterbacher, J., Osborn, T. J., Briffa, K. R. & Zorita, E., Jul 2017, In: Nature Geoscience. 10, 7, p. 512–517 6 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

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  212 Citations (Scopus)

  82 Downloads (Pure)

• Investigating Holocene climate variability: data-model comparisons

  Renssen, H. & Osborn, T., 2003, In: PAGES News. 11, 2/3, p. 32-33

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

• Keeping global warming within 1.5°C constrains emergence of aridification

  Park, C-E., Jeong, S-J., Joshi, M., Osborn, T., Ho, C-H., Piao, S., Chen, D., Liu, J., Yang, H., Park, H., Kim, B-M. & Feng, S., 1 Jan 2018, In: Nature Climate Change. 8, p. 70–74 5 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  168 Citations (Scopus)

  33 Downloads (Pure)

• Land surface air temperature variations across the globe updated to 2019: the CRUTEM5 dataset

  Osborn, T. J., Jones, P. D., Lister, D. H., Morice, C. P., Simpson, I. R., Winn, J. P., Hogan, E. & Harris, I. C., 27 Jan 2021, In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 126, 2, e2019JD032352.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

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  102 Citations (Scopus)

  17 Downloads (Pure)

• Large-scale temperature inferences from tree rings: A review

  Briffa, K. R., Osborn, T. J. & Schweingruber, F. H., 2003, In: Global and Planetary Change. 40, 1-2, p. 11-26 16 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  293 Citations (Scopus)

• Large-scale variations in the vegetation growing season and annual cycle of atmospheric CO2 at high northern latitudes from 1950 to 2011

  Barichivich, J., Briffa, K. R., Myneni, R. B., Osborn, T. J., Melvin, T. M., Ciais, P., Piao, S. & Tucker, C., 1 Oct 2013, In: Global Change Biology. 19, 10, p. 3167-3183 17 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  279 Citations (Scopus)

• Last millennium northern hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part I: The long term context

  Wilson, R., Anchukaitis, K., Briffa, K. R., Büntgen, U., Cook, E., D'Arrigo, R., Davi, N., Esper, J., Frank, D., Gunnarson, B., Hegerl, G., Helama, S., Klesse, S., Krusic, P. J., Linderholm, H. W., Myglan, V., Osborn, T. J., Rydval, M., Schneider, L., Schurer, A., & 3 othersWiles, G., Zhang, P. & Zorita, E., 15 Feb 2016, In: Quaternary Science Reviews. 134, p. 1-18 18 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  337 Citations (Scopus)

  18 Downloads (Pure)

• Last millennium Northern Hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part II, spatially resolved reconstructions

  Anchukaitis, K. J., Wilson, R., Briffa, K. R., Büntgen, U., Cook, E. R., D'Arrigo, R., Davi, N., Esper, J., Frank, D., Gunnarson, B. E., Hegerl, G., Helama, S., Klesse, S., Krusic, P. J., Linderholm, H. W., Myglan, V., Osborn, T. J., Zhang, P., Rydval, M., Schneider, L., & 3 othersSchurer, A., Wiles, G. & Zorita, E., 1 May 2017, In: Quaternary Science Reviews. 163, p. 1-22 22 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  178 Citations (Scopus)

  15 Downloads (Pure)

• Limiting global-mean temperature increase to 1.5-2°C could reduce the incidence and spatial spread of dengue fever in Latin America

  Colon Gonzalez, F. D. J., Harris, I., Osborn, T. J., São Bernardo, C. S., Peres, C. A., Hunter, P. R. & Lake, I. R., 12 Jun 2018, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 115, 24, p. 6243-6248 6 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

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  45 Citations (Scopus)

  39 Downloads (Pure)

• Long-term decrease in Asian monsoon rainfall and abrupt climate change events over the past 6,700 years

  Yang, B., Qin, C., Bräuning, A., Osborn, T., Trouet, V., Ljungqvist, F. C., Esper, J., Schneider, L., Grießinger, J., Büntgen, U., Rossi, S., Dong, G., Yan, M., Ning, L., Wang, J., Wang, X., Wang, S., Luterbacher, J., Cook, E. R. & Stenseth, N. C., 27 Jul 2021, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 118, 30, e2102007118.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  136 Citations (Scopus)

  25 Downloads (Pure)

• Low-frequency temperature variations from a northern tree-ring density network

  Briffa, K. R., Osborn, T. J., Schweingruber, F. H., Harris, I. C., Jones, P. D., Shiyatov, S. G. & Vaganov, E. A., 16 Feb 2001, In: Journal of Geophysical Research. 106, D3, p. 2929-2941 13 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  513 Citations (Scopus)

• Mechanisms of winter precipitation variability in the European-Mediterranean region associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation

  Seager, R., Liu, H., Kushnir, Y., Osborn, T., Simpson, I., Kelley, C. R. & Nakamura, J., 15 Aug 2020, In: Journal of Climate. 33, 16, p. 7179–7196 18 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  27 Citations (Scopus)

  10 Downloads (Pure)

• Millennial temperature reconstruction intercomparison and evaluation

  Juckes, M. N., Allen, M. R., Briffa, K. R., Esper, J., Hegerl, G. C., Moberg, A., Osborn, T. J. & Weber, S. L., 5 Oct 2007, In: Climate of the Past. 3, 4, p. 591-599 9 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access
  93 Citations (Scopus)

• Modelling seasonality in extreme precipitation: a UK case study

  Rust, H. W., Maraun, D. & Osborn, T. J., 2009, In: European Physical Journal - Special Topics. 174, 1, p. 99-111 13 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  45 Citations (Scopus)

• Moisture transport by Atlantic tropical cyclones onto the North American continent

  Xu, G., Osborn, T. & Matthews, A., May 2017, In: Climate Dynamics. 48, 9, p. 3161–3182 22 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

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  15 Citations (Scopus)

  18 Downloads (Pure)

• Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index

  Barichivich, J., Osborn, T., Harris, I., Van Der Schrier, G. & Jones, P., Sep 2023, In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 104, 9

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

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  3 Citations (Scopus)

  9 Downloads (Pure)

• Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate in 2014"]

  van der Schrier, G., Barichivich, J., Harris, I., Jones, P. & Osborn, T., Jul 2015, In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 96, 7, p. S30-S31 2 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  62 Citations (SciVal)

  24 Downloads (Pure)

• Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate in 2015"]

  Osborn, T., Barichivich, J., Harris, I., Van Der Schrier, G. & Jones, P., 1 Aug 2016, In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 97, p. S32-S36 5 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

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  17 Downloads (Pure)

• Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate in 2016"]

  Osborn, T., Barichivich, J., Harris, I., van der Schrier, G. & Jones, P., 1 Aug 2017, In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 98, 8, p. S32-S33 2 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

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  69 Citations (Scopus)

  20 Downloads (Pure)

• Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate in 2019"]

  Barichivich, J., Osborn, T., Harris, I., Van Der Schrier, G. & Jones, P., 31 Aug 2020, In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 101, p. S51-S52 2 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

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  48 Citations (Scopus)

  17 Downloads (Pure)

• Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate in 2020" eds. Dunn RJH, Aldred F, Gobron N, Miller JB & Willett KM]

  Barichivich, J., Osborn, T., Harris, I., van der Schrier, G. & Jones, P., 1 Aug 2021, In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 102, 8, p. S68-S70 3 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  26 Citations (Scopus)

  16 Downloads (Pure)

• North Atlantic oscillation influence on precipitation, river flow and water resources in the Iberian Peninsula

  Trigo, R. M., Pozo-Vázquez, D., Osborn, T. J., Castro-Díez, Y., Gámiz-Fortis, S. & Esteban-Parra, M. J., 2004, In: International Journal of Climatology. 24, 8, p. 925-944 20 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  559 Citations (Scopus)

• Observed and modelled influence of atmospheric circulation on central England temperature extremes

  Blenkinsop, S., Jones, PD., Dorling, SR. & Osborn, TJ., 2009, In: International Journal of Climatology. 29, 11, p. 1642-1660 19 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  28 Citations (Scopus)

• Observed trends in the daily intensity of United Kingdom precipitation

  Osborn, T. J., Hulme, M., Jones, P. D. & Basnett, T. A., 2000, In: International Journal of Climatology. 20, 4, p. 347-364 18 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  353 Citations (Scopus)

• On past temperatures and anomalous late-20th century warmth

  Mann, M., Ammann, C., Bradley, R., Briffa, K., Jones, P., Osborn, T., Crowley, T., Hughes, M., Oppenheimer, M., Overpeck, J., Rutherford, S., Trenberth, K. & Wigley, T., 2003, In: Eos. 84, 27, p. 256-257 2 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  92 Citations (Scopus)

• On the relationship between Eurasian snow cover and summer rainfall in South Korea, part I: statistical analysis

  Choi, B. -C., Davies, T. D., Osborn, T. J. & Lee, S. H., 1998, In: Journal of the Korean Meteorological Society. 34, 3, p. 478-485 8 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

• Pattern scaling the parameters of a Markov-Chain gamma-distribution daily precipitation generator

  Wilson Kemsley, S., Osborn, T. J., Dorling, S. R. & Wallace, C., Jan 2024, In: International Journal of Climatology. 44, 1, p. 144-159 16 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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• Pattern scaling using ClimGen: monthly-resolution future climate scenarios including changes in the variability of precipitation

  Osborn, T. J., Wallace, C. J., Harris, I. C. & Melvin, T. M., Feb 2016, In: Climatic Change. 134, 3, p. 353-369 17 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

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  53 Citations (Scopus)

  11 Downloads (Pure)

• Performance of pattern-scaled climate projections under high-end warming, part I: surface air temperature over land

  Osborn, T. J., Wallace, C. J., Lowe, J. A. & Bernie, D., Jul 2018, In: Journal of Climate. 31, p. 5667–5680 14 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access
  16 Citations (Scopus)

• Potential discontinuities in the MSU2R temperature record revealed by comparisons with the surface record over 1979 to 1996

  Jones, P., Osborn, T., Wigley, T., Kelly, M. & Santer, B. D., 1997, In: Journal of Geophysical Research. 102, p. 30135-30145

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

• Precipitation sensitivity to global warming: Comparison of observations with HadCM2 simulations

  Hulme, M., Osborn, T. J. & Johns, T. C., 1998, In: Geophysical Research Letters. 25, p. 3379-3382 4 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  312 Citations (Scopus)

• Precipitation sensitivity to global warming: comparisons of observations with HadCM2 simulations

  Hulme, M., Osborn, T. J. & Johns, T. C., 1998, In: Geophysical Research Letters. 25, 17, p. 3379-3382 4 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

• Probable causes of late twentieth century tropospheric temperature trends

  Thorne, P. W., Jones, P. D., Tett, S. F. B., Allen, M. R., Parker, D. E., Stott, P. A., Jones, G. S., Osborn, T. J. & Davies, T. D., Dec 2003, In: Climate Dynamics. 21, 7-8, p. 573-591 19 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
  26 Citations (Scopus)

• Producing policy-relevant science by enhancing robustness and model integration for the assessment of global environmental change

  Warren, R. F., Edwards, N. R., Babonneau, F., Bacon, P. M., Dietrich, J. P., Ford, R. W., Garthwaite, P., Gerten, D., Goswami, S., Haurie, A., Hiscock, K., Holden, P. B., Hyde, M. R., Joshi, S. R., Kanudia, A., Labriet, M., Leimbach, M., Oyebamiji, O. K., Osborn, T., Pizzileo, B., & 7 othersPopp, A., Price, J., Riley, G., Schaphoff, S., Slavin, P., Vielle, M. & Wallace, C., Jan 2019, In: Environmental Modelling & Software. 111, p. 248-258 11 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

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  5 Citations (Scopus)

  30 Downloads (Pure)

• Projected changes in droughts and extreme droughts in Great Britain strongly influenced by the choice of drought index

  Reyniers, N., Osborn, T. J., Addor, N. & Darch, G., 16 Mar 2023, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 27, 5, p. 1151-1171 21 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access

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  9 Citations (Scopus)

  19 Downloads (Pure)

• Proxy-based Northern Hemisphere surface temperature reconstructions: Sensitivity to method, predictor network, target season and target domain

  Rutherford, S., Mann, M. E., Osborn, T. J., Briffa, K. R., Jones, P. D., Bradley, R. S. & Hughes, M. K., 2005, In: Journal of Climate. 18, 13, p. 2308-2329 22 p.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

  Open Access
  180 Citations (Scopus)

• Quantification of impacts between 1.5°C and 4°C of global warming on flooding risks in six countries

  He, Y., Manful, D., Warren, R., Forstenhaeusler, N., Osborn, T. J., Price, J., Jenkins, R., Wallace, C. & Yamazaki, D., 25 Jan 2022, In: Climatic Change. 170, 1-2, 15.

  Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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  29 Citations (Scopus)

  32 Downloads (Pure)