A 2017 Horizon Scan of Emerging Issues for Global Conservation and Biological Diversity

William J. Sutherland, Phoebe Barnard, Steven Broad, Mick Clout, Ben Connor, Isabelle M. Côté, Lynn V. Dicks, Helen Doran, Abigail C. Entwistle, Erica Fleishman, Marie Fox, Kevin J. Gaston, David W. Gibbons, Zhigang Jiang, Brandon Keim, Fiona A. Lickorish, Paul Markillie, Kathryn A. Monk, James W. Pearce-Higgins, Lloyd S. PeckJules Pretty, Mark D. Spalding, Femke H. Tonneijck, Bonnie C. Wintle, Nancy Ockendon

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Abstract

We present the results of our eighth annual horizon scan of emerging issues likely to affect global biological diversity, the environment, and conservation efforts in the future. The potential effects of these novel issues might not yet be fully recognized or understood by the global conservation community, and the issues can be regarded as both opportunities and risks. A diverse international team with collective expertise in horizon scanning, science communication, and conservation research, practice, and policy reviewed 100 potential issues and identified 15 that qualified as emerging, with potential substantial global effects. These issues include new developments in energy storage and fuel production, sand extraction, potential solutions to combat coral bleaching and invasive marine species, and blockchain technology.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)31-40
Number of pages10
JournalTrends in Ecology & Evolution
Volume32
Issue number1
Early online date10 Dec 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2017

Keywords

  • futures
  • novel issues
  • predictions
  • environment
  • climate change
  • invasive species
  • management
  • energy security

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