A 2018 horizon scan of emerging issues for global conservation and biological diversity

William J. Sutherland, Stuart H. M. Butchart, Ben Connor, Caroline Culshaw, Lynn V. Dicks, Jason Dinsdale, Helen Doran, Abigail C. Entwistle, Erica Fleishman, David W. Gibbons, Zhigang Jiang, Brandon Keim, Xavier Le Roux, Fiona A. Lickorish, Paul Markillie, Kathryn A. Monk, Diana Mortimer, James W. Pearce-Higgins, Lloyd S. Peck, Jules PrettyColleen L. Seymour, Mark D. Spalding, Femke H. Tonneijck, Rosalind A. Gleave

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Abstract

This is our ninth annual horizon scan to identify emerging issues that we believe could affect global biological diversity, natural capital and ecosystem services, and conservation efforts. Our diverse and international team, with expertise in horizon scanning, science communication, as well as conservation science, practice, and policy, reviewed 117 potential issues. We identified the 15 that may have the greatest positive or negative effects but are not yet well recognised by the global conservation community. Themes among these topics include new mechanisms driving the emergence and geographic expansion of diseases, innovative biotechnologies, reassessments of global change, and the development of strategic infrastructure to facilitate global economic priorities
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)47-58
Number of pages12
JournalTrends in Ecology and Evolution
Volume33
Issue number1
Early online date4 Dec 2017
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2018

Keywords

  • futures
  • novel issues
  • predictions
  • environment
  • climate change
  • emerging disease
  • biotechnology
  • A horizon scan of emerging global biological conservation issues for 2020

    Sutherland, W. J., Dias, M. P., Dicks, L. V., Doran, H., Entwistle, A. C., Fleishman, E., Gibbons, D. W., Hails, R., Hughes, A. C., Hughes, J., Kelman, R., Le Roux, X., LeAnstey, B., Lickorish, F. A., Maggs, L., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Peck, L. S., Pettorelli, N., Pretty, J., Spalding, M. D., & 3 othersTonneijck, F. H., Wentworth, J. & Thornton, A., 1 Jan 2020, In: Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 35, 1, p. 81-90 10 p.

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  • A horizon scan of emerging issues for global conservation in 2019

    Sutherland, W. J., Broad, S., Butchart, S. H. M., Clarke, S. J., Collins, A. M., Dicks, L. V., Doran, H., Esmail, N., Fleishman, E., Frost, N., Gaston, K. J., Gibbons, D. W., Hughes, A. C., Jiang, Z., Kelman, R., LeAnstey, B., le Roux, X., Lickorish, F. A., Monk, K. A., Mortimer, D., & 8 othersPearce-Higgins, J. W., Peck, L. S., Pettorelli, N., Pretty, J., Seymour, C. L., Spalding, M. D., Wentworth, J. & Ockendon, N., Jan 2019, In: Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 34, 1, p. 83-94 12 p.

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  • A 2017 horizon scan of emerging issues for global conservation and biological diversity

    Sutherland, W. J., Barnard, P., Broad, S., Clout, M., Connor, B., Côté, I. M., Dicks, L. V., Doran, H., Entwistle, A. C., Fleishman, E., Fox, M., Gaston, K. J., Gibbons, D. W., Jiang, Z., Keim, B., Lickorish, F. A., Markillie, P., Monk, K. A., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Peck, L. S., & 5 othersPretty, J., Spalding, M. D., Tonneijck, F. H., Wintle, B. C. & Ockendon, N., Jan 2017, In: Trends in Ecology & Evolution. 32, 1, p. 31-40 10 p.

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