A search for human influences on the thermal structure of the atmosphere

B. D. Santer; K. E. Taylor; T. M. L. Wigley; T. C. Johns; P. D. Jones; D. J. Karoly; J. F. B. Mitchell; A. H. Oort; J. E. Penner; V. Ramaswamy; M. D. Schwarzkopf; R. J. Stouffer; S. Tett

doi:10.1038/382039a0

A search for human influences on the thermal structure of the atmosphere

B. D. Santer, K. E. Taylor, T. M. L. Wigley, T. C. Johns, P. D. Jones, D. J. Karoly, J. F. B. Mitchell, A. H. Oort, J. E. Penner, V. Ramaswamy, M. D. Schwarzkopf, R. J. Stouffer, S. Tett

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

413 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The observed spatial patterns of temperature change in the free atmosphere from 1963 to 1987 are similar to those predicted by state-of-the-art climate models incorporating various combinations of changes in carbon dioxide, anthropogenic sulphate aerosol and stratospheric ozone concentrations. The degree of pattern similarity between models and observations increases through this period. It is likely that this trend is partially due to human activities, although many uncertainties remain, particularly relating to estimates of natural variability.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	39-46
Number of pages	8
Journal	Nature
Volume	382
Issue number	6586
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/382039a0
Publication status	Published - 1996

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10.1038/382039a0

Cite this

@article{f5ead8ebcf744eda82baa1987b74cba5,

title = "A search for human influences on the thermal structure of the atmosphere",

abstract = "The observed spatial patterns of temperature change in the free atmosphere from 1963 to 1987 are similar to those predicted by state-of-the-art climate models incorporating various combinations of changes in carbon dioxide, anthropogenic sulphate aerosol and stratospheric ozone concentrations. The degree of pattern similarity between models and observations increases through this period. It is likely that this trend is partially due to human activities, although many uncertainties remain, particularly relating to estimates of natural variability.",

author = "Santer, {B. D.} and Taylor, {K. E.} and Wigley, {T. M. L.} and Johns, {T. C.} and Jones, {P. D.} and Karoly, {D. J.} and Mitchell, {J. F. B.} and Oort, {A. H.} and Penner, {J. E.} and V. Ramaswamy and Schwarzkopf, {M. D.} and Stouffer, {R. J.} and S. Tett",

year = "1996",

doi = "10.1038/382039a0",

language = "English",

volume = "382",

pages = "39--46",

journal = "Nature",

issn = "0028-0836",

publisher = "Nature Publishing Group",

number = "6586",

}

A search for human influences on the thermal structure of the atmosphere. / Santer, B. D.; Taylor, K. E.; Wigley, T. M. L.; Johns, T. C.; Jones, P. D.; Karoly, D. J.; Mitchell, J. F. B.; Oort, A. H.; Penner, J. E.; Ramaswamy, V.; Schwarzkopf, M. D.; Stouffer, R. J.; Tett, S.

In: Nature, Vol. 382, No. 6586, 1996, p. 39-46.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

TY - JOUR

T1 - A search for human influences on the thermal structure of the atmosphere

AU - Santer, B. D.

AU - Taylor, K. E.

AU - Wigley, T. M. L.

AU - Johns, T. C.

AU - Jones, P. D.

AU - Karoly, D. J.

AU - Mitchell, J. F. B.

AU - Oort, A. H.

AU - Penner, J. E.

AU - Ramaswamy, V.

AU - Schwarzkopf, M. D.

AU - Stouffer, R. J.

AU - Tett, S.

PY - 1996

Y1 - 1996

N2 - The observed spatial patterns of temperature change in the free atmosphere from 1963 to 1987 are similar to those predicted by state-of-the-art climate models incorporating various combinations of changes in carbon dioxide, anthropogenic sulphate aerosol and stratospheric ozone concentrations. The degree of pattern similarity between models and observations increases through this period. It is likely that this trend is partially due to human activities, although many uncertainties remain, particularly relating to estimates of natural variability.

AB - The observed spatial patterns of temperature change in the free atmosphere from 1963 to 1987 are similar to those predicted by state-of-the-art climate models incorporating various combinations of changes in carbon dioxide, anthropogenic sulphate aerosol and stratospheric ozone concentrations. The degree of pattern similarity between models and observations increases through this period. It is likely that this trend is partially due to human activities, although many uncertainties remain, particularly relating to estimates of natural variability.

U2 - 10.1038/382039a0

DO - 10.1038/382039a0

M3 - Article

VL - 382

SP - 39

EP - 46

JO - Nature

JF - Nature

SN - 0028-0836

IS - 6586

ER -