Assessing the robustness of zonal mean climate change detection

Peter W. Thorne, Phil D. Jones, Tim J. Osborn, Trevor D. Davies, Simon F. B. Tett, David E. Parker, Peter A. Stott, Gareth S. Jones, Myles R. Allen

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19 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We assess the robustness of previous optimal detection and attribution studies considering zonal-mean temperatures. Principal results, which have consistently pointed towards a demonstrable anthropogenic influence on recently observed upper air temperatures, are confirmed. Importantly our detection results are not critically dependent on the inclusion of stratospheric as well as tropospheric temperatures. We find that detection is dependent on input field pre-processing choices, and on the choice of detection algorithm. There are a number of cases where either no signals are detected, or results fail a consistency test.
Original languageEnglish
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume29
Issue number19
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2002

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