Comparing external and internal instruments for vector autoregressions

Martin Bruns, Helmut Lütkepohl

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In conventional proxy VAR analysis, the shocks of interest are identified by external instruments. This is typically accomplished by considering the covariance of the instruments and the reduced-form residuals. Alternatively, the instruments may be internalized by augmenting the VAR process by the instruments or proxies. These alternative identification methods are compared and it is shown that the resulting shocks obtained with the alternative approaches differ in general. Conditions are provided under which their impulse responses are nevertheless identical. If the conditions are satisfied, identification of the shocks is ensured. An empirical example illustrates the theoretical results.

Original languageEnglish
Article number105131
JournalJournal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume177
Early online date12 Jun 2025
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 12 Jun 2025

Keywords

  • Augmented VAR
  • Fundamental shocks
  • Invertible VAR
  • Proxy VAR
  • Structural vector autoregression

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