Energy modellers should explore extremes more systematically in scenarios

David McCollum; Ajay Gambhir; Joeri Rogelj; Charlie Wilson

doi:10.1038/s41560-020-0555-3

Energy modellers should explore extremes more systematically in scenarios

David McCollum, Ajay Gambhir, Joeri Rogelj, Charlie Wilson

Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

72 Citations (Scopus)

25 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Scenarios are the primary tool for examining how current decisions shape the future, but the future is affected as much by out-of-ordinary extremes as by generally expected trends. Energy modellers can study extremes both by incorporating them directly within models and by using complementary off-model analyses.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	104-107
Number of pages	4
Journal	Nature Energy
Volume	5
Issue number	2
Early online date	17 Feb 2020
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0555-3
Publication status	Published - Feb 2020

Keywords

FUTURE

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

10.1038/s41560-020-0555-3

Accepted_ManuscriptAccepted author manuscript, 622 KB

Cite this

@article{de542e6172234463bd986138e78b5aa2,

title = "Energy modellers should explore extremes more systematically in scenarios",

abstract = "Scenarios are the primary tool for examining how current decisions shape the future, but the future is affected as much by out-of-ordinary extremes as by generally expected trends. Energy modellers can study extremes both by incorporating them directly within models and by using complementary off-model analyses.",

keywords = "FUTURE",

author = "David McCollum and Ajay Gambhir and Joeri Rogelj and Charlie Wilson",

year = "2020",

month = feb,

doi = "10.1038/s41560-020-0555-3",

language = "English",

volume = "5",

pages = "104--107",

journal = "Nature Energy",

issn = "2058-7546",

publisher = "Nature Publishing Group",

number = "2",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Energy modellers should explore extremes more systematically in scenarios

AU - McCollum, David

AU - Gambhir, Ajay

AU - Rogelj, Joeri

AU - Wilson, Charlie

PY - 2020/2

Y1 - 2020/2

N2 - Scenarios are the primary tool for examining how current decisions shape the future, but the future is affected as much by out-of-ordinary extremes as by generally expected trends. Energy modellers can study extremes both by incorporating them directly within models and by using complementary off-model analyses.

AB - Scenarios are the primary tool for examining how current decisions shape the future, but the future is affected as much by out-of-ordinary extremes as by generally expected trends. Energy modellers can study extremes both by incorporating them directly within models and by using complementary off-model analyses.

KW - FUTURE

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85079730260&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1038/s41560-020-0555-3

DO - 10.1038/s41560-020-0555-3

M3 - Article

VL - 5

SP - 104

EP - 107

JO - Nature Energy

JF - Nature Energy

SN - 2058-7546

IS - 2

ER -

Energy modellers should explore extremes more systematically in scenarios

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

Access to Document

Other files and links

Profiles

Charlie Wilson

Cite this