Abstract
Lowe P. and Ward N. England's rural futures: a socio-geographical approach to scenarios analysis, Regional Studies. The paper reports on an exercise to generate alternative future scenarios for rural England through a statistical approach set in a firm conceptual framework. It identifies predominant contemporary trends affecting England's rural areas, geographically differentiates them, and projects them forward using formal modelling. The resultant set of twenty-year future scenarios for the English countryside, intended to help stimulate public debate on rural futures, is presented and discussed. The analysis suggests that in-migrant commuters and retirees are likely to be the major forces impacting on rural social geography in the future.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 1319-1332 |
Number of pages | 14 |
Journal | Regional Studies |
Volume | 43 |
Issue number | 10 |
Early online date | 20 Nov 2009 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2009 |
Keywords
- Rural areas
- Rural England
- Futures analysis
- Scenario analysis