England's rural futures: A socio-geographical approach to scenarios analysis

Philip Lowe, Neil Ward

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Lowe P. and Ward N. England's rural futures: a socio-geographical approach to scenarios analysis, Regional Studies. The paper reports on an exercise to generate alternative future scenarios for rural England through a statistical approach set in a firm conceptual framework. It identifies predominant contemporary trends affecting England's rural areas, geographically differentiates them, and projects them forward using formal modelling. The resultant set of twenty-year future scenarios for the English countryside, intended to help stimulate public debate on rural futures, is presented and discussed. The analysis suggests that in-migrant commuters and retirees are likely to be the major forces impacting on rural social geography in the future.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1319-1332
Number of pages14
JournalRegional Studies
Issue number10
Early online date20 Nov 2009
Publication statusPublished - 2009


  • Rural areas
  • Rural England
  • Futures analysis
  • Scenario analysis

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