Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: A case study

Yi He, Fredrik Wetterhall, Hongjun Bao, Hannah Cloke, Zhijia Li, Florian Pappenberger, Yuzhong Hu, Desmond Manful, Yingchun Huang

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52 Citations (Scopus)


We present a case study using the TIGGE database for flood warning in the Upper Huai catchment (ca. 30 672 km2). TIGGE ensemble forecasts from 6 meteorological centres with 10-day lead time were extracted and disaggregated to drive the Xinanjiang model to forecast discharges for flood events in July-September 2008. The results demonstrated satisfactory flood forecasting skills with clear signals of floods up to 10 days in advance. The forecasts occasionally show discrepancies both in time and space. Forecasting quality could potentially be improved by using temporal and spatial corrections of the forecasted precipitation.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)132-138
Number of pages7
JournalAtmospheric Science Letters
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - 2010

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