Abstract
Estimates of extinction risk for Amazonian plant and animal species are rare and not often incorporated into land-use policy and conservation planning. We overlay spatial distribution models with historical and projected deforestation to show that at least 36% and up to 57% of all Amazonian tree species are likely to qualify as globally threatened under International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List criteria. If confirmed, these results would increase the number of threatened plant species on Earth by 22%. We show that the trends observed in Amazonia apply to trees throughout the tropics, and we predict that most of the world's >40,000 tropical tree species now qualify as globally threatened. A gap analysis suggests that existing Amazonian protected areas and indigenous territories will protect viable populations of most threatened species if these areas suffer no further degradation, highlighting the key roles that protected areas, indigenous peoples, and improved governance can play in preventing large-scale extinctions in the tropics in this century.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Article number | e1500936 |
Number of pages | 10 |
Journal | Science Advances |
Volume | 1 |
Issue number | 10 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 20 Nov 2015 |
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Carlos Peres
- School of Environmental Sciences - Professor of Environmental Sciences
- Environmental Biology - Member
- ClimateUEA - Member
Person: Research Group Member, Academic, Teaching & Research
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Estimating the global conservation status of more than 15,000 Amazonian tree species. / Ter Steege, Hans; Pitman, Nigel C A; Killeen, Timothy J; Laurance, William F; Peres, Carlos A; Guevara, Juan Ernesto; Salomão, Rafael P; Castilho, Carolina V; Amaral, Iêda Leão; de Almeida Matos, Francisca Dionízia; de Souza Coelho, Luiz; Magnusson, William E; Phillips, Oliver L; de Andrade Lima Filho, Diogenes; de Jesus Veiga Carim, Marcelo; Irume, Mariana Victória; Martins, Maria Pires; Molino, Jean-François; Sabatier, Daniel; Wittmann, Florian; López, Dairon Cárdenas; da Silva Guimarães, José Renan; Mendoza, Abel Monteagudo; Vargas, Percy Núñez; Manzatto, Angelo Gilberto; Reis, Neidiane Farias Costa; Terborgh, John; Casula, Katia Regina; Montero, Juan Carlos; Feldpausch, Ted R; Honorio Coronado, Euridice N; Montoya, Alvaro Javier Duque; Zartman, Charles Eugene; Mostacedo, Bonifacio; Vasquez, Rodolfo; Assis, Rafael L; Medeiros, Marcelo Brilhante; Simon, Marcelo Fragomeni; Andrade, Ana; Camargo, José Luís; Laurance, Susan G W; Nascimento, Henrique Eduardo Mendonça; Marimon, Beatriz S; Marimon, Ben-Hur; Costa, Flávia; Targhetta, Natalia; Vieira, Ima Célia Guimarães; Brienen, Roel; Castellanos, Hernán; Duivenvoorden, Joost F; Mogollón, Hugo F; Piedade, Maria Teresa Fernandez; Aymard C, Gerardo A; Comiskey, James A; Damasco, Gabriel; Dávila, Nállarett; García-Villacorta, Roosevelt; Diaz, Pablo Roberto Stevenson; Vincentini, Alberto; Emilio, Thaise; Levis, Carolina; Schietti, Juliana; Souza, Priscila; Alonso, Alfonso; Dallmeier, Francisco; Ferreira, Leandro Valle; Neill, David; Araujo-Murakami, Alejandro; Arroyo, Luzmila; Carvalho, Fernanda Antunes; Souza, Fernanda Coelho; do Amaral, Dário Dantas; Gribel, Rogerio; Luize, Bruno Garcia; Pansonato, Marcelo Petrati; Venticinque, Eduardo; Fine, Paul; Toledo, Marisol; Baraloto, Chris; Cerón, Carlos; Engel, Julien; Henkel, Terry W; Jimenez, Eliana M; Maas, Paul; Mora, Maria Cristina Peñuela; Petronelli, Pascal; Revilla, Juan David Cardenas; Silveira, Marcos; Stropp, Juliana; Thomas-Caesar, Raquel; Baker, Tim R; Daly, Doug; Paredes, Marcos Ríos; da Silva, Naara Ferreira; Fuentes, Alfredo; Jørgensen, Peter Møller; Schöngart, Jochen; Silman, Miles R; Arboleda, Nicolás Castaño; Cintra, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat; Valverde, Fernando Cornejo; Di Fiore, Anthony; Phillips, Juan Fernando; van Andel, Tinde R; von Hildebrand, Patricio; Barbosa, Edelcilio Marques; de Matos Bonates, Luiz Carlos; de Castro, Deborah; de Sousa Farias, Emanuelle; Gonzales, Therany; Guillaumet, Jean-Louis; Hoffman, Bruce; Malhi, Yadvinder; de Andrade Miranda, Ires Paula; Prieto, Adriana; Rudas, Agustín; Ruschell, Ademir R; Silva, Natalino; Vela, César I A; Vos, Vincent A; Zent, Eglée L; Zent, Stanford; Cano, Angela; Nascimento, Marcelo Trindade; Oliveira, Alexandre A; Ramirez-Angulo, Hirma; Ramos, José Ferreira; Sierra, Rodrigo; Tirado, Milton; Medina, Maria Natalia Umaña; van der Heijden, Geertje; Torre, Emilio Vilanova; Vriesendorp, Corine; Wang, Ophelia; Young, Kenneth R; Baider, Claudia; Balslev, Henrik; de Castro, Natalia; Farfan-Rios, William; Ferreira, Cid; Mendoza, Casimiro; Mesones, Italo; Torres-Lezama, Armando; Giraldo, Ligia Estela Urrego; Villarroel, Daniel; Zagt, Roderick; Alexiades, Miguel N; Garcia-Cabrera, Karina; Hernandez, Lionel; Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, Isau; Milliken, William; Cuenca, Walter Palacios; Pansini, Susamar; Pauletto, Daniela; Arevalo, Freddy Ramirez; Sampaio, Adeilza Felipe; Valderrama Sandoval, Elvis H; Gamarra, Luis Valenzuela.
In: Science Advances, Vol. 1, No. 10, e1500936, 20.11.2015.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
TY - JOUR
T1 - Estimating the global conservation status of more than 15,000 Amazonian tree species
AU - Ter Steege, Hans
AU - Pitman, Nigel C A
AU - Killeen, Timothy J
AU - Laurance, William F
AU - Peres, Carlos A
AU - Guevara, Juan Ernesto
AU - Salomão, Rafael P
AU - Castilho, Carolina V
AU - Amaral, Iêda Leão
AU - de Almeida Matos, Francisca Dionízia
AU - de Souza Coelho, Luiz
AU - Magnusson, William E
AU - Phillips, Oliver L
AU - de Andrade Lima Filho, Diogenes
AU - de Jesus Veiga Carim, Marcelo
AU - Irume, Mariana Victória
AU - Martins, Maria Pires
AU - Molino, Jean-François
AU - Sabatier, Daniel
AU - Wittmann, Florian
AU - López, Dairon Cárdenas
AU - da Silva Guimarães, José Renan
AU - Mendoza, Abel Monteagudo
AU - Vargas, Percy Núñez
AU - Manzatto, Angelo Gilberto
AU - Reis, Neidiane Farias Costa
AU - Terborgh, John
AU - Casula, Katia Regina
AU - Montero, Juan Carlos
AU - Feldpausch, Ted R
AU - Honorio Coronado, Euridice N
AU - Montoya, Alvaro Javier Duque
AU - Zartman, Charles Eugene
AU - Mostacedo, Bonifacio
AU - Vasquez, Rodolfo
AU - Assis, Rafael L
AU - Medeiros, Marcelo Brilhante
AU - Simon, Marcelo Fragomeni
AU - Andrade, Ana
AU - Camargo, José Luís
AU - Laurance, Susan G W
AU - Nascimento, Henrique Eduardo Mendonça
AU - Marimon, Beatriz S
AU - Marimon, Ben-Hur
AU - Costa, Flávia
AU - Targhetta, Natalia
AU - Vieira, Ima Célia Guimarães
AU - Brienen, Roel
AU - Castellanos, Hernán
AU - Duivenvoorden, Joost F
AU - Mogollón, Hugo F
AU - Piedade, Maria Teresa Fernandez
AU - Aymard C, Gerardo A
AU - Comiskey, James A
AU - Damasco, Gabriel
AU - Dávila, Nállarett
AU - García-Villacorta, Roosevelt
AU - Diaz, Pablo Roberto Stevenson
AU - Vincentini, Alberto
AU - Emilio, Thaise
AU - Levis, Carolina
AU - Schietti, Juliana
AU - Souza, Priscila
AU - Alonso, Alfonso
AU - Dallmeier, Francisco
AU - Ferreira, Leandro Valle
AU - Neill, David
AU - Araujo-Murakami, Alejandro
AU - Arroyo, Luzmila
AU - Carvalho, Fernanda Antunes
AU - Souza, Fernanda Coelho
AU - do Amaral, Dário Dantas
AU - Gribel, Rogerio
AU - Luize, Bruno Garcia
AU - Pansonato, Marcelo Petrati
AU - Venticinque, Eduardo
AU - Fine, Paul
AU - Toledo, Marisol
AU - Baraloto, Chris
AU - Cerón, Carlos
AU - Engel, Julien
AU - Henkel, Terry W
AU - Jimenez, Eliana M
AU - Maas, Paul
AU - Mora, Maria Cristina Peñuela
AU - Petronelli, Pascal
AU - Revilla, Juan David Cardenas
AU - Silveira, Marcos
AU - Stropp, Juliana
AU - Thomas-Caesar, Raquel
AU - Baker, Tim R
AU - Daly, Doug
AU - Paredes, Marcos Ríos
AU - da Silva, Naara Ferreira
AU - Fuentes, Alfredo
AU - Jørgensen, Peter Møller
AU - Schöngart, Jochen
AU - Silman, Miles R
AU - Arboleda, Nicolás Castaño
AU - Cintra, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat
AU - Valverde, Fernando Cornejo
AU - Di Fiore, Anthony
AU - Phillips, Juan Fernando
AU - van Andel, Tinde R
AU - von Hildebrand, Patricio
AU - Barbosa, Edelcilio Marques
AU - de Matos Bonates, Luiz Carlos
AU - de Castro, Deborah
AU - de Sousa Farias, Emanuelle
AU - Gonzales, Therany
AU - Guillaumet, Jean-Louis
AU - Hoffman, Bruce
AU - Malhi, Yadvinder
AU - de Andrade Miranda, Ires Paula
AU - Prieto, Adriana
AU - Rudas, Agustín
AU - Ruschell, Ademir R
AU - Silva, Natalino
AU - Vela, César I A
AU - Vos, Vincent A
AU - Zent, Eglée L
AU - Zent, Stanford
AU - Cano, Angela
AU - Nascimento, Marcelo Trindade
AU - Oliveira, Alexandre A
AU - Ramirez-Angulo, Hirma
AU - Ramos, José Ferreira
AU - Sierra, Rodrigo
AU - Tirado, Milton
AU - Medina, Maria Natalia Umaña
AU - van der Heijden, Geertje
AU - Torre, Emilio Vilanova
AU - Vriesendorp, Corine
AU - Wang, Ophelia
AU - Young, Kenneth R
AU - Baider, Claudia
AU - Balslev, Henrik
AU - de Castro, Natalia
AU - Farfan-Rios, William
AU - Ferreira, Cid
AU - Mendoza, Casimiro
AU - Mesones, Italo
AU - Torres-Lezama, Armando
AU - Giraldo, Ligia Estela Urrego
AU - Villarroel, Daniel
AU - Zagt, Roderick
AU - Alexiades, Miguel N
AU - Garcia-Cabrera, Karina
AU - Hernandez, Lionel
AU - Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, Isau
AU - Milliken, William
AU - Cuenca, Walter Palacios
AU - Pansini, Susamar
AU - Pauletto, Daniela
AU - Arevalo, Freddy Ramirez
AU - Sampaio, Adeilza Felipe
AU - Valderrama Sandoval, Elvis H
AU - Gamarra, Luis Valenzuela
N1 - 2015 © The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0 (CC BY-NC).
PY - 2015/11/20
Y1 - 2015/11/20
N2 - Estimates of extinction risk for Amazonian plant and animal species are rare and not often incorporated into land-use policy and conservation planning. We overlay spatial distribution models with historical and projected deforestation to show that at least 36% and up to 57% of all Amazonian tree species are likely to qualify as globally threatened under International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List criteria. If confirmed, these results would increase the number of threatened plant species on Earth by 22%. We show that the trends observed in Amazonia apply to trees throughout the tropics, and we predict that most of the world's >40,000 tropical tree species now qualify as globally threatened. A gap analysis suggests that existing Amazonian protected areas and indigenous territories will protect viable populations of most threatened species if these areas suffer no further degradation, highlighting the key roles that protected areas, indigenous peoples, and improved governance can play in preventing large-scale extinctions in the tropics in this century.
AB - Estimates of extinction risk for Amazonian plant and animal species are rare and not often incorporated into land-use policy and conservation planning. We overlay spatial distribution models with historical and projected deforestation to show that at least 36% and up to 57% of all Amazonian tree species are likely to qualify as globally threatened under International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List criteria. If confirmed, these results would increase the number of threatened plant species on Earth by 22%. We show that the trends observed in Amazonia apply to trees throughout the tropics, and we predict that most of the world's >40,000 tropical tree species now qualify as globally threatened. A gap analysis suggests that existing Amazonian protected areas and indigenous territories will protect viable populations of most threatened species if these areas suffer no further degradation, highlighting the key roles that protected areas, indigenous peoples, and improved governance can play in preventing large-scale extinctions in the tropics in this century.
U2 - 10.1126/sciadv.1500936
DO - 10.1126/sciadv.1500936
M3 - Article
C2 - 26702442
VL - 1
JO - Science Advances
JF - Science Advances
SN - 2375-2548
IS - 10
M1 - e1500936
ER -