Estimating the global conservation status of more than 15,000 Amazonian tree species

Hans Ter Steege; Nigel C A Pitman; Timothy J Killeen; William F Laurance; Carlos A Peres; Juan Ernesto Guevara; Rafael P Salomão; Carolina V Castilho; Iêda Leão Amaral; Francisca Dionízia de Almeida Matos; Luiz de Souza Coelho; William E Magnusson; Oliver L Phillips; Diogenes de Andrade Lima Filho; Marcelo de Jesus Veiga Carim; Mariana Victória Irume; Maria Pires Martins; Jean-François Molino; Daniel Sabatier; Florian Wittmann; Dairon Cárdenas López; José Renan da Silva Guimarães; Abel Monteagudo Mendoza; Percy Núñez Vargas; Angelo Gilberto Manzatto; Neidiane Farias Costa Reis; John Terborgh; Katia Regina Casula; Juan Carlos Montero; Ted R Feldpausch; Euridice N Honorio Coronado; Alvaro Javier Duque Montoya; Charles Eugene Zartman; Bonifacio Mostacedo; Rodolfo Vasquez; Rafael L Assis; Marcelo Brilhante Medeiros; Marcelo Fragomeni Simon; Ana Andrade; José Luís Camargo; Susan G W Laurance; Henrique Eduardo Mendonça Nascimento; Beatriz S Marimon; Ben-Hur Marimon; Flávia Costa; Natalia Targhetta; Ima Célia Guimarães Vieira; Roel Brienen; Hernán Castellanos; Joost F Duivenvoorden; Hugo F Mogollón; Maria Teresa Fernandez Piedade; Gerardo A Aymard C; James A Comiskey; Gabriel Damasco; Nállarett Dávila; Roosevelt García-Villacorta; Pablo Roberto Stevenson Diaz; Alberto Vincentini; Thaise Emilio; Carolina Levis; Juliana Schietti; Priscila Souza; Alfonso Alonso; Francisco Dallmeier; Leandro Valle Ferreira; David Neill; Alejandro Araujo-Murakami; Luzmila Arroyo; Fernanda Antunes Carvalho; Fernanda Coelho Souza; Dário Dantas do Amaral; Rogerio Gribel; Bruno Garcia Luize; Marcelo Petrati Pansonato; Eduardo Venticinque; Paul Fine; Marisol Toledo; Chris Baraloto; Carlos Cerón; Julien Engel; Terry W Henkel; Eliana M Jimenez; Paul Maas; Maria Cristina Peñuela Mora; Pascal Petronelli; Juan David Cardenas Revilla; Marcos Silveira; Juliana Stropp; Raquel Thomas-Caesar; Tim R Baker; Doug Daly; Marcos Ríos Paredes; Naara Ferreira da Silva; Alfredo Fuentes; Peter Møller Jørgensen; Jochen Schöngart; Miles R Silman; Nicolás Castaño Arboleda; Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra; Fernando Cornejo Valverde; Anthony Di Fiore; Juan Fernando Phillips; Tinde R van Andel; Patricio von Hildebrand; Edelcilio Marques Barbosa; Luiz Carlos de Matos Bonates; Deborah de Castro; Emanuelle de Sousa Farias; Therany Gonzales; Jean-Louis Guillaumet; Bruce Hoffman; Yadvinder Malhi; Ires Paula de Andrade Miranda; Adriana Prieto; Agustín Rudas; Ademir R Ruschell; Natalino Silva; César I A Vela; Vincent A Vos; Eglée L Zent; Stanford Zent; Angela Cano; Marcelo Trindade Nascimento; Alexandre A Oliveira; Hirma Ramirez-Angulo; José Ferreira Ramos; Rodrigo Sierra; Milton Tirado; Maria Natalia Umaña Medina; Geertje van der Heijden; Emilio Vilanova Torre; Corine Vriesendorp; Ophelia Wang; Kenneth R Young; Claudia Baider; Henrik Balslev; Natalia de Castro; William Farfan-Rios; Cid Ferreira; Casimiro Mendoza; Italo Mesones; Armando Torres-Lezama; Ligia Estela Urrego Giraldo; Daniel Villarroel; Roderick Zagt; Miguel N Alexiades; Karina Garcia-Cabrera; Lionel Hernandez; Isau Huamantupa-Chuquimaco; William Milliken; Walter Palacios Cuenca; Susamar Pansini; Daniela Pauletto; Freddy Ramirez Arevalo; Adeilza Felipe Sampaio; Elvis H Valderrama Sandoval; Luis Valenzuela Gamarra

doi:10.1126/sciadv.1500936

Estimating the global conservation status of more than 15,000 Amazonian tree species

Hans Ter Steege, Nigel C A Pitman, Timothy J Killeen, William F Laurance, Carlos A Peres, Juan Ernesto Guevara, Rafael P Salomão, Carolina V Castilho, Iêda Leão Amaral, Francisca Dionízia de Almeida Matos, Luiz de Souza Coelho, William E Magnusson, Oliver L Phillips, Diogenes de Andrade Lima Filho, Marcelo de Jesus Veiga Carim, Mariana Victória Irume, Maria Pires Martins, Jean-François Molino, Daniel Sabatier, Florian WittmannDairon Cárdenas López, José Renan da Silva Guimarães, Abel Monteagudo Mendoza, Percy Núñez Vargas, Angelo Gilberto Manzatto, Neidiane Farias Costa Reis, John Terborgh, Katia Regina Casula, Juan Carlos Montero, Ted R Feldpausch, Euridice N Honorio Coronado, Alvaro Javier Duque Montoya, Charles Eugene Zartman, Bonifacio Mostacedo, Rodolfo Vasquez, Rafael L Assis, Marcelo Brilhante Medeiros, Marcelo Fragomeni Simon, Ana Andrade, José Luís Camargo, Susan G W Laurance, Henrique Eduardo Mendonça Nascimento, Beatriz S Marimon, Ben-Hur Marimon, Flávia Costa, Natalia Targhetta, Ima Célia Guimarães Vieira, Roel Brienen, Hernán Castellanos, Joost F Duivenvoorden, Hugo F Mogollón, Maria Teresa Fernandez Piedade, Gerardo A Aymard C, James A Comiskey, Gabriel Damasco, Nállarett Dávila, Roosevelt García-Villacorta, Pablo Roberto Stevenson Diaz, Alberto Vincentini, Thaise Emilio, Carolina Levis, Juliana Schietti, Priscila Souza, Alfonso Alonso, Francisco Dallmeier, Leandro Valle Ferreira, David Neill, Alejandro Araujo-Murakami, Luzmila Arroyo, Fernanda Antunes Carvalho, Fernanda Coelho Souza, Dário Dantas do Amaral, Rogerio Gribel, Bruno Garcia Luize, Marcelo Petrati Pansonato, Eduardo Venticinque, Paul Fine, Marisol Toledo, Chris Baraloto, Carlos Cerón, Julien Engel, Terry W Henkel, Eliana M Jimenez, Paul Maas, Maria Cristina Peñuela Mora, Pascal Petronelli, Juan David Cardenas Revilla, Marcos Silveira, Juliana Stropp, Raquel Thomas-Caesar, Tim R Baker, Doug Daly, Marcos Ríos Paredes, Naara Ferreira da Silva, Alfredo Fuentes, Peter Møller Jørgensen, Jochen Schöngart, Miles R Silman, Nicolás Castaño Arboleda, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra, Fernando Cornejo Valverde, Anthony Di Fiore, Juan Fernando Phillips, Tinde R van Andel, Patricio von Hildebrand, Edelcilio Marques Barbosa, Luiz Carlos de Matos Bonates, Deborah de Castro, Emanuelle de Sousa Farias, Therany Gonzales, Jean-Louis Guillaumet, Bruce Hoffman, Yadvinder Malhi, Ires Paula de Andrade Miranda, Adriana Prieto, Agustín Rudas, Ademir R Ruschell, Natalino Silva, César I A Vela, Vincent A Vos, Eglée L Zent, Stanford Zent, Angela Cano, Marcelo Trindade Nascimento, Alexandre A Oliveira, Hirma Ramirez-Angulo, José Ferreira Ramos, Rodrigo Sierra, Milton Tirado, Maria Natalia Umaña Medina, Geertje van der Heijden, Emilio Vilanova Torre, Corine Vriesendorp, Ophelia Wang, Kenneth R Young, Claudia Baider, Henrik Balslev, Natalia de Castro, William Farfan-Rios, Cid Ferreira, Casimiro Mendoza, Italo Mesones, Armando Torres-Lezama, Ligia Estela Urrego Giraldo, Daniel Villarroel, Roderick Zagt, Miguel N Alexiades, Karina Garcia-Cabrera, Lionel Hernandez, Isau Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, William Milliken, Walter Palacios Cuenca, Susamar Pansini, Daniela Pauletto, Freddy Ramirez Arevalo, Adeilza Felipe Sampaio, Elvis H Valderrama Sandoval, Luis Valenzuela Gamarra

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Abstract

Estimates of extinction risk for Amazonian plant and animal species are rare and not often incorporated into land-use policy and conservation planning. We overlay spatial distribution models with historical and projected deforestation to show that at least 36% and up to 57% of all Amazonian tree species are likely to qualify as globally threatened under International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List criteria. If confirmed, these results would increase the number of threatened plant species on Earth by 22%. We show that the trends observed in Amazonia apply to trees throughout the tropics, and we predict that most of the world's >40,000 tropical tree species now qualify as globally threatened. A gap analysis suggests that existing Amazonian protected areas and indigenous territories will protect viable populations of most threatened species if these areas suffer no further degradation, highlighting the key roles that protected areas, indigenous peoples, and improved governance can play in preventing large-scale extinctions in the tropics in this century.

Original language	English
Article number	e1500936
Number of pages	10
Journal	Science Advances
Volume	1
Issue number	10
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1500936
Publication status	Published - 20 Nov 2015

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ter Steege et al
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Carlos Peres
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- School of Environmental Sciences - Professor of Environmental Sciences
- Centre for Ecology, Evolution and Conservation - Member
- Environmental Biology - Member
- ClimateUEA - Member
Person: Research Group Member, Research Centre Member, Academic, Teaching & Research

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Ter Steege, H., Pitman, N. C. A., Killeen, T. J., Laurance, W. F., Peres, C. A., Guevara, J. E., Salomão, R. P., Castilho, C. V., Amaral, I. L., de Almeida Matos, F. D., de Souza Coelho, L., Magnusson, W. E., Phillips, O. L., de Andrade Lima Filho, D., de Jesus Veiga Carim, M., Irume, M. V., Martins, M. P., Molino, J.-F., Sabatier, D., ... Gamarra, L. V. (2015). Estimating the global conservation status of more than 15,000 Amazonian tree species. Science Advances, 1(10), Article e1500936. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1500936

@article{6aedacd6ea574b82ac32154921f0a10c,

title = "Estimating the global conservation status of more than 15,000 Amazonian tree species",

abstract = "Estimates of extinction risk for Amazonian plant and animal species are rare and not often incorporated into land-use policy and conservation planning. We overlay spatial distribution models with historical and projected deforestation to show that at least 36% and up to 57% of all Amazonian tree species are likely to qualify as globally threatened under International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List criteria. If confirmed, these results would increase the number of threatened plant species on Earth by 22%. We show that the trends observed in Amazonia apply to trees throughout the tropics, and we predict that most of the world's >40,000 tropical tree species now qualify as globally threatened. A gap analysis suggests that existing Amazonian protected areas and indigenous territories will protect viable populations of most threatened species if these areas suffer no further degradation, highlighting the key roles that protected areas, indigenous peoples, and improved governance can play in preventing large-scale extinctions in the tropics in this century.",

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note = " 2015 {\textcopyright} The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0 (CC BY-NC).",

year = "2015",

month = nov,

day = "20",

doi = "10.1126/sciadv.1500936",

language = "English",

volume = "1",

journal = "Science Advances",

issn = "2375-2548",

publisher = "American Association for the Advancement of Science",

number = "10",

}

Ter Steege, H, Pitman, NCA, Killeen, TJ, Laurance, WF, Peres, CA, Guevara, JE, Salomão, RP, Castilho, CV, Amaral, IL, de Almeida Matos, FD, de Souza Coelho, L, Magnusson, WE, Phillips, OL, de Andrade Lima Filho, D, de Jesus Veiga Carim, M, Irume, MV, Martins, MP, Molino, J-F, Sabatier, D, Wittmann, F, López, DC, da Silva Guimarães, JR, Mendoza, AM, Vargas, PN, Manzatto, AG, Reis, NFC, Terborgh, J, Casula, KR, Montero, JC, Feldpausch, TR, Honorio Coronado, EN, Montoya, AJD, Zartman, CE, Mostacedo, B, Vasquez, R, Assis, RL, Medeiros, MB, Simon, MF, Andrade, A, Camargo, JL, Laurance, SGW, Nascimento, HEM, Marimon, BS, Marimon, B-H, Costa, F, Targhetta, N, Vieira, ICG, Brienen, R, Castellanos, H, Duivenvoorden, JF, Mogollón, HF, Piedade, MTF, Aymard C, GA, Comiskey, JA, Damasco, G, Dávila, N, García-Villacorta, R, Diaz, PRS, Vincentini, A, Emilio, T, Levis, C, Schietti, J, Souza, P, Alonso, A, Dallmeier, F, Ferreira, LV, Neill, D, Araujo-Murakami, A, Arroyo, L, Carvalho, FA, Souza, FC, do Amaral, DD, Gribel, R, Luize, BG, Pansonato, MP, Venticinque, E, Fine, P, Toledo, M, Baraloto, C, Cerón, C, Engel, J, Henkel, TW, Jimenez, EM, Maas, P, Mora, MCP, Petronelli, P, Revilla, JDC, Silveira, M, Stropp, J, Thomas-Caesar, R, Baker, TR, Daly, D, Paredes, MR, da Silva, NF, Fuentes, A, Jørgensen, PM, Schöngart, J, Silman, MR, Arboleda, NC, Cintra, BBL, Valverde, FC, Di Fiore, A, Phillips, JF, van Andel, TR, von Hildebrand, P, Barbosa, EM, de Matos Bonates, LC, de Castro, D, de Sousa Farias, E, Gonzales, T, Guillaumet, J-L, Hoffman, B, Malhi, Y, de Andrade Miranda, IP, Prieto, A, Rudas, A, Ruschell, AR, Silva, N, Vela, CIA, Vos, VA, Zent, EL, Zent, S, Cano, A, Nascimento, MT, Oliveira, AA, Ramirez-Angulo, H, Ramos, JF, Sierra, R, Tirado, M, Medina, MNU, van der Heijden, G, Torre, EV, Vriesendorp, C, Wang, O, Young, KR, Baider, C, Balslev, H, de Castro, N, Farfan-Rios, W, Ferreira, C, Mendoza, C, Mesones, I, Torres-Lezama, A, Giraldo, LEU, Villarroel, D, Zagt, R, Alexiades, MN, Garcia-Cabrera, K, Hernandez, L, Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, I, Milliken, W, Cuenca, WP, Pansini, S, Pauletto, D, Arevalo, FR, Sampaio, AF, Valderrama Sandoval, EH & Gamarra, LV 2015, 'Estimating the global conservation status of more than 15,000 Amazonian tree species', Science Advances, vol. 1, no. 10, e1500936. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1500936

TY - JOUR

T1 - Estimating the global conservation status of more than 15,000 Amazonian tree species

AU - Ter Steege, Hans

AU - Pitman, Nigel C A

AU - Killeen, Timothy J

AU - Laurance, William F

AU - Peres, Carlos A

AU - Guevara, Juan Ernesto

AU - Salomão, Rafael P

AU - Castilho, Carolina V

AU - Amaral, Iêda Leão

AU - de Almeida Matos, Francisca Dionízia

AU - de Souza Coelho, Luiz

AU - Magnusson, William E

AU - Phillips, Oliver L

AU - de Andrade Lima Filho, Diogenes

AU - de Jesus Veiga Carim, Marcelo

AU - Irume, Mariana Victória

AU - Martins, Maria Pires

AU - Molino, Jean-François

AU - Sabatier, Daniel

AU - Wittmann, Florian

AU - López, Dairon Cárdenas

AU - da Silva Guimarães, José Renan

AU - Mendoza, Abel Monteagudo

AU - Vargas, Percy Núñez

AU - Manzatto, Angelo Gilberto

AU - Reis, Neidiane Farias Costa

AU - Terborgh, John

AU - Casula, Katia Regina

AU - Montero, Juan Carlos

AU - Feldpausch, Ted R

AU - Honorio Coronado, Euridice N

AU - Montoya, Alvaro Javier Duque

AU - Zartman, Charles Eugene

AU - Mostacedo, Bonifacio

AU - Vasquez, Rodolfo

AU - Assis, Rafael L

AU - Medeiros, Marcelo Brilhante

AU - Simon, Marcelo Fragomeni

AU - Andrade, Ana

AU - Camargo, José Luís

AU - Laurance, Susan G W

AU - Nascimento, Henrique Eduardo Mendonça

AU - Marimon, Beatriz S

AU - Marimon, Ben-Hur

AU - Costa, Flávia

AU - Targhetta, Natalia

AU - Vieira, Ima Célia Guimarães

AU - Brienen, Roel

AU - Castellanos, Hernán

AU - Duivenvoorden, Joost F

AU - Mogollón, Hugo F

AU - Piedade, Maria Teresa Fernandez

AU - Aymard C, Gerardo A

AU - Comiskey, James A

AU - Damasco, Gabriel

AU - Dávila, Nállarett

AU - García-Villacorta, Roosevelt

AU - Diaz, Pablo Roberto Stevenson

AU - Vincentini, Alberto

AU - Emilio, Thaise

AU - Levis, Carolina

AU - Schietti, Juliana

AU - Souza, Priscila

AU - Alonso, Alfonso

AU - Dallmeier, Francisco

AU - Ferreira, Leandro Valle

AU - Neill, David

AU - Araujo-Murakami, Alejandro

AU - Arroyo, Luzmila

AU - Carvalho, Fernanda Antunes

AU - Souza, Fernanda Coelho

AU - do Amaral, Dário Dantas

AU - Gribel, Rogerio

AU - Luize, Bruno Garcia

AU - Pansonato, Marcelo Petrati

AU - Venticinque, Eduardo

AU - Fine, Paul

AU - Toledo, Marisol

AU - Baraloto, Chris

AU - Cerón, Carlos

AU - Engel, Julien

AU - Henkel, Terry W

AU - Jimenez, Eliana M

AU - Maas, Paul

AU - Mora, Maria Cristina Peñuela

AU - Petronelli, Pascal

AU - Revilla, Juan David Cardenas

AU - Silveira, Marcos

AU - Stropp, Juliana

AU - Thomas-Caesar, Raquel

AU - Baker, Tim R

AU - Daly, Doug

AU - Paredes, Marcos Ríos

AU - da Silva, Naara Ferreira

AU - Fuentes, Alfredo

AU - Jørgensen, Peter Møller

AU - Schöngart, Jochen

AU - Silman, Miles R

AU - Arboleda, Nicolás Castaño

AU - Cintra, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat

AU - Valverde, Fernando Cornejo

AU - Di Fiore, Anthony

AU - Phillips, Juan Fernando

AU - van Andel, Tinde R

AU - von Hildebrand, Patricio

AU - Barbosa, Edelcilio Marques

AU - de Matos Bonates, Luiz Carlos

AU - de Castro, Deborah

AU - de Sousa Farias, Emanuelle

AU - Gonzales, Therany

AU - Guillaumet, Jean-Louis

AU - Hoffman, Bruce

AU - Malhi, Yadvinder

AU - de Andrade Miranda, Ires Paula

AU - Prieto, Adriana

AU - Rudas, Agustín

AU - Ruschell, Ademir R

AU - Silva, Natalino

AU - Vela, César I A

AU - Vos, Vincent A

AU - Zent, Eglée L

AU - Zent, Stanford

AU - Cano, Angela

AU - Nascimento, Marcelo Trindade

AU - Oliveira, Alexandre A

AU - Ramirez-Angulo, Hirma

AU - Ramos, José Ferreira

AU - Sierra, Rodrigo

AU - Tirado, Milton

AU - Medina, Maria Natalia Umaña

AU - van der Heijden, Geertje

AU - Torre, Emilio Vilanova

AU - Vriesendorp, Corine

AU - Wang, Ophelia

AU - Young, Kenneth R

AU - Baider, Claudia

AU - Balslev, Henrik

AU - de Castro, Natalia

AU - Farfan-Rios, William

AU - Ferreira, Cid

AU - Mendoza, Casimiro

AU - Mesones, Italo

AU - Torres-Lezama, Armando

AU - Giraldo, Ligia Estela Urrego

AU - Villarroel, Daniel

AU - Zagt, Roderick

AU - Alexiades, Miguel N

AU - Garcia-Cabrera, Karina

AU - Hernandez, Lionel

AU - Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, Isau

AU - Milliken, William

AU - Cuenca, Walter Palacios

AU - Pansini, Susamar

AU - Pauletto, Daniela

AU - Arevalo, Freddy Ramirez

AU - Sampaio, Adeilza Felipe

AU - Valderrama Sandoval, Elvis H

AU - Gamarra, Luis Valenzuela

N1 - 2015 © The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0 (CC BY-NC).

PY - 2015/11/20

Y1 - 2015/11/20

N2 - Estimates of extinction risk for Amazonian plant and animal species are rare and not often incorporated into land-use policy and conservation planning. We overlay spatial distribution models with historical and projected deforestation to show that at least 36% and up to 57% of all Amazonian tree species are likely to qualify as globally threatened under International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List criteria. If confirmed, these results would increase the number of threatened plant species on Earth by 22%. We show that the trends observed in Amazonia apply to trees throughout the tropics, and we predict that most of the world's >40,000 tropical tree species now qualify as globally threatened. A gap analysis suggests that existing Amazonian protected areas and indigenous territories will protect viable populations of most threatened species if these areas suffer no further degradation, highlighting the key roles that protected areas, indigenous peoples, and improved governance can play in preventing large-scale extinctions in the tropics in this century.

AB - Estimates of extinction risk for Amazonian plant and animal species are rare and not often incorporated into land-use policy and conservation planning. We overlay spatial distribution models with historical and projected deforestation to show that at least 36% and up to 57% of all Amazonian tree species are likely to qualify as globally threatened under International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List criteria. If confirmed, these results would increase the number of threatened plant species on Earth by 22%. We show that the trends observed in Amazonia apply to trees throughout the tropics, and we predict that most of the world's >40,000 tropical tree species now qualify as globally threatened. A gap analysis suggests that existing Amazonian protected areas and indigenous territories will protect viable populations of most threatened species if these areas suffer no further degradation, highlighting the key roles that protected areas, indigenous peoples, and improved governance can play in preventing large-scale extinctions in the tropics in this century.

U2 - 10.1126/sciadv.1500936

DO - 10.1126/sciadv.1500936

M3 - Article

C2 - 26702442

SN - 2375-2548

VL - 1

JO - Science Advances

JF - Science Advances

IS - 10

M1 - e1500936

ER -

Estimating the global conservation status of more than 15,000 Amazonian tree species

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Carlos Peres

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