Exploring representativeness and reliability for late medieval earthquakes in Europe

Paolo Forlin, Christopher Gerard, David Petley

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)
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Abstract

Seismic catalogues of past earthquakes have compiled a substantial amount of
information about historical seismicity for Europe and the Mediterranean. Using two of the most recent European seismic databases (AHEAD and EMEC), this paper employs GIS spatial analysis (Kernel density estimation) to explore the representativeness and reliability of data captured for late medieval earthquakes. We identify those regions where the occurrence of earthquakes is significantly higher or lower than expected values and investigate possible reasons for these discrepancies. The nature of the seismic events themselves, the methodology employed during catalogue compilation and the availability of medieval written records are all briefly explored.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)e640-e646
Number of pages7
JournalNatural Hazards
Volume66
Issue number650
Early online date6 Aug 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sep 2016

Keywords

  • Earthquakes
  • Historical seismicity
  • Late medieval Europe
  • GIS
  • Kernel density estimation
  • Risk

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