Exploring representativeness and reliability for late medieval earthquakes in Europe

Paolo Forlin; Christopher Gerard; David Petley

doi:10.1007/s11069-016-2502-y

Exploring representativeness and reliability for late medieval earthquakes in Europe

Paolo Forlin, Christopher Gerard, David Petley

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

8 Citations (Scopus)

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Abstract

Seismic catalogues of past earthquakes have compiled a substantial amount of information about historical seismicity for Europe and the Mediterranean. Using two of the most recent European seismic databases (AHEAD and EMEC), this paper employs GIS spatial analysis (Kernel density estimation) to explore the representativeness and reliability of data captured for late medieval earthquakes. We identify those regions where the occurrence of earthquakes is significantly higher or lower than expected values and investigate possible reasons for these discrepancies. The nature of the seismic events themselves, the methodology employed during catalogue compilation and the availability of medieval written records are all briefly explored.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	e640-e646
Number of pages	7
Journal	Natural Hazards
Volume	66
Issue number	650
Early online date	6 Aug 2016
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2502-y
Publication status	Published - 1 Sep 2016

Keywords

Earthquakes
Historical seismicity
Late medieval Europe
GIS
Kernel density estimation
Risk

Access to Document

10.1007/s11069-016-2502-y

Published manuscript
This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
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Cite this

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