Fact Sheet for “Consistency of Modeled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”

Ben Santer; Peter Thorne; Leo Haimberger; Karl Taylor; Tom Wigley; John Lanzante; Susan Solomon; Melissa Free; Peter Gleckler; Phil Jones; Tom Karl; Steve Klein; Carl Mears; Doug Nychka; Gavin Schmidt; Steve Sherwood; Frank Wentz

doi:10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6_4

Fact Sheet for “Consistency of Modeled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”

Ben Santer, Peter Thorne, Leo Haimberger, Karl Taylor, Tom Wigley, John Lanzante, Susan Solomon, Melissa Free, Peter Gleckler, Phil Jones, Tom Karl, Steve Klein, Carl Mears, Doug Nychka, Gavin Schmidt, Steve Sherwood, Frank Wentz

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Using state-of-the-art observational datasets and results from a large archive of computer model simulations, a consortium of scientists from 12 different institutions has resolved a long-standing conundrum in climate science—the apparent discrepancy between simulated and observed temperature trends in the tropics. Research published by this group indicates that there is no fundamental discrepancy between modeled and observed tropical temperature trends when one accounts for: (1) the (currently large) uncertainties in observations; and (2) the statistical uncertainties in estimating trends from observations. These results refute a recent claim that model and observed tropical temperature trends “disagree to a statistically significant extent”. This claim was based on the application of a flawed statistical test and the use of older observational datasets.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Climate Modelling
Editors	Elisabeth A. Lloyd, Eric Winsberg
Publisher	Springer
Chapter	4
Pages	73-84
Number of pages	12
ISBN (Electronic)	978-3-319-65058-6
ISBN (Print)	978-3-319-65057-9
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6_4
Publication status	Published - 14 Feb 2018

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10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6_4

http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6_4

Philip Jones
- P.Jonesuea.acuk
- School of Environmental Sciences - Emeritus Professor
- Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences - Member
- Climatic Research Unit - Member
- ClimateUEA - Member
Person: Honorary, Member, Research Group Member

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Santer, B., Thorne, P., Haimberger, L., Taylor, K., Wigley, T., Lanzante, J., Solomon, S., Free, M., Gleckler, P., Jones, P., Karl, T., Klein, S., Mears, C., Nychka, D., Schmidt, G., Sherwood, S., & Wentz, F. (2018). Fact Sheet for “Consistency of Modeled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”. In E. A. Lloyd, & E. Winsberg (Eds.), Climate Modelling (pp. 73-84). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6_4

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abstract = "Using state-of-the-art observational datasets and results from a large archive of computer model simulations, a consortium of scientists from 12 different institutions has resolved a long-standing conundrum in climate science—the apparent discrepancy between simulated and observed temperature trends in the tropics. Research published by this group indicates that there is no fundamental discrepancy between modeled and observed tropical temperature trends when one accounts for: (1) the (currently large) uncertainties in observations; and (2) the statistical uncertainties in estimating trends from observations. These results refute a recent claim that model and observed tropical temperature trends “disagree to a statistically significant extent”. This claim was based on the application of a flawed statistical test and the use of older observational datasets.",

author = "Ben Santer and Peter Thorne and Leo Haimberger and Karl Taylor and Tom Wigley and John Lanzante and Susan Solomon and Melissa Free and Peter Gleckler and Phil Jones and Tom Karl and Steve Klein and Carl Mears and Doug Nychka and Gavin Schmidt and Steve Sherwood and Frank Wentz",

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Santer, B, Thorne, P, Haimberger, L, Taylor, K, Wigley, T, Lanzante, J, Solomon, S, Free, M, Gleckler, P, Jones, P, Karl, T, Klein, S, Mears, C, Nychka, D, Schmidt, G, Sherwood, S & Wentz, F 2018, Fact Sheet for “Consistency of Modeled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”. in E A. Lloyd & E Winsberg (eds), Climate Modelling. Springer, pp. 73-84. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6_4

TY - CHAP

T1 - Fact Sheet for “Consistency of Modeled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”

AU - Santer, Ben

AU - Thorne, Peter

AU - Haimberger, Leo

AU - Taylor, Karl

AU - Wigley, Tom

AU - Lanzante, John

AU - Solomon, Susan

AU - Free, Melissa

AU - Gleckler, Peter

AU - Jones, Phil

AU - Karl, Tom

AU - Klein, Steve

AU - Mears, Carl

AU - Nychka, Doug

AU - Schmidt, Gavin

AU - Sherwood, Steve

AU - Wentz, Frank

PY - 2018/2/14

Y1 - 2018/2/14

N2 - Using state-of-the-art observational datasets and results from a large archive of computer model simulations, a consortium of scientists from 12 different institutions has resolved a long-standing conundrum in climate science—the apparent discrepancy between simulated and observed temperature trends in the tropics. Research published by this group indicates that there is no fundamental discrepancy between modeled and observed tropical temperature trends when one accounts for: (1) the (currently large) uncertainties in observations; and (2) the statistical uncertainties in estimating trends from observations. These results refute a recent claim that model and observed tropical temperature trends “disagree to a statistically significant extent”. This claim was based on the application of a flawed statistical test and the use of older observational datasets.

AB - Using state-of-the-art observational datasets and results from a large archive of computer model simulations, a consortium of scientists from 12 different institutions has resolved a long-standing conundrum in climate science—the apparent discrepancy between simulated and observed temperature trends in the tropics. Research published by this group indicates that there is no fundamental discrepancy between modeled and observed tropical temperature trends when one accounts for: (1) the (currently large) uncertainties in observations; and (2) the statistical uncertainties in estimating trends from observations. These results refute a recent claim that model and observed tropical temperature trends “disagree to a statistically significant extent”. This claim was based on the application of a flawed statistical test and the use of older observational datasets.

U2 - 10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6_4

DO - 10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6_4

M3 - Chapter

SN - 978-3-319-65057-9

SP - 73

EP - 84

BT - Climate Modelling

A2 - A. Lloyd, Elisabeth

A2 - Winsberg, Eric

PB - Springer

ER -

Fact Sheet for “Consistency of Modeled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”

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Philip Jones

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