Further evidence on inflation targeting and income distribution

John Thornton, Chrysovalantis Vasilakis

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Abstract

This paper examines the effect of inflation targeting (IT) on income distribution in a panel of 70 countries. Employing panel regressions and a variety of propensity score matching methods, we find strong evidence that incomes became more unequal in IT-adopting countries relative to countries that did not adopt IT. Panel regressions suggest that Gini coefficients increased by 0.25%–0.57% and the share of income of the top 1% and 10% of households increased by 0.7% in IT adopter countries. Using propensity score matching methods, IT has been associated with a relative rise in Gini coefficients of about 1–2 percentage points, and a relative increase in the share of national income going to the top 1% and 10% of households by about 11–13 percentage points and 13–17 percentage points, respectively. The results are robust to changes in country sample and alternative estimation methodologies.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1474-1493
Number of pages20
JournalSouthern Economic Journal
Volume91
Issue number4
Early online date29 Oct 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2025

Keywords

  • income distribution
  • gini coefficients
  • top income shares
  • inflation targeting
  • monetary policy

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