Abstract
Risk preferences play a crucial role in a great variety of economic decisions. Measuring risk preferences reliably is therefore an important challenge. In this paper we ask the question whether risk preferences observed in economic experiments reflect real-life risky choice behaviour. We investigate in a sample representative for a rural region of eastern Uganda whether pursuing farming strategies with both a higher expected profit and greater variance of profits is associated with willingness to take risks in an experiment. Controlling for other determinants of risk-taking in agriculture, we find that risky choice behaviour in the experiment is correlated with risky choice behaviour in real life in one domain, i.e. the purchase of fertiliser, but not in other domains, i.e. the growing of cash crops and market-orientation more broadly. Our findings suggest that economic experiments may be good at capturing real-world risky choice behaviour that is narrowly bracketed.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 134-148 |
| Journal | Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization |
| Volume | 128 |
| Early online date | 27 May 2016 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Aug 2016 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
-
SDG 2 Zero Hunger
Keywords
- Risk preferences
- Experimental methodology
- External validity
- Choice bracketing
- Agricultural investment
Profiles
-
Ben D'Exelle
- School of Global Development - Professor of Economics
- Centre for Behavioural and Experimental Social Science - Member
- Behavioural Economics - Member
- Behavioural and Experimental Development Economics - Member
- Environment, Resources and Conflict - Member
- Gender and Development - Member
- Impact Evaluation - Member
Person: Research Group Member, Academic, Teaching and Research
-
Arjan Verschoor
- School of Global Development - Professor of Economics
- Centre for Behavioural and Experimental Social Science - Member
- Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research - Member
- Behavioural and Experimental Development Economics - Member
- Gender and Development - Member
- Impact Evaluation - Member
Person: Research Group Member, Research Centre Member, Academic, Teaching and Research
Projects
- 1 Finished
-
A Behavioural Economic Analysis of Agricultural Investment Decisions in Uganda
Verschoor, A. (Principal Investigator) & D'Exelle, B. (Co-Investigator)
Economic and Social Research Council
20/02/12 → 19/02/15
Project: Research
Cite this
- APA
- Author
- BIBTEX
- Harvard
- Standard
- RIS
- Vancouver