Positive confirmation bias in the acquisition of information

R. Sugden, Martin Jones

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

74 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

An experiment is reported which tests for positive confirmation bias in a setting in which individuals choose what information to buy, prior to making a decision. The design - an adaptation of Wason's selection task - reveals the use that subjects make of information after buying it. Strong evidence of positive confirmation bias, in both information acquisition and information use, is found; and this bias is found to be robust to experience. It is suggested that the bias results from a pattern of reasoning which, although producing sub-optimal decisions, is internally coherent and which is self-reinforcing.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)59-99
Number of pages41
JournalTheory and Decision
Volume50
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Feb 2001

Keywords

  • Positive confirmation bias
  • Selection task
  • Information acquisition

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