Abstract
This chapter introduces the autoregressive distributed lag model (ADLM). The ADLM is incorporated with the general-to-specific (GETS) approach for model specification, estimation, and selection to capture the relationship between tourism demand and its determinants. The model is applied to analyse and forecast inbound tourism demand for Thailand from selected source markets. Following a discussion of the forecasting performance of the ADLM, future research directions are proposed.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | Econometric Modelling and Forecasting of Tourism Demand |
| Place of Publication | London |
| Publisher | Taylor and Francis |
| Number of pages | 23 |
| Edition | 1st Edition |
| ISBN (Electronic) | 9781003269366 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 27 Oct 2022 |
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